"An Absurdly Large Number of Elements"

 “An absurdly large number of elements renders a theory implausible,” - Professor John McAdams

That an absurdly large number of elements renders a theory implausible is certainly something a logical and reasonable person would agree on, and I do. The problem with Professor McAdams  is the extension of that logic to the unreasonable conclusion that one man alone – Lee Harvey Oswald killed the President of the United States.

As McAdams continues, “For example, to let Oswald off the hook, you have to posit that somebody stole the rifle from the Paine garage, that they managed to get into the Depository and shoot Kennedy,  that they produced a bag with Oswald’s palm print and a fingerprint on it and then left it in the Sniper’s Nest, and then got out of the building with nobody seeing them, while Oswald was luckily nowhere in the sight of anybody, and was indeed in the building, the elaborateness of this scenario renders it implausible. Among theories that explain the data, the simplest one – or more properly the one with the fewest ad hoc assumptions – is to be preferred.”

An aburdly large number of elements renders a theory implausible, especially those that attempt but fail to place Lee Harvey Oswald in the sixth floor of the Texas School Book Depository (TSBD) at the time of the assassination, thus rendering it implausible he was the lone assassin of the President.

Now let’s look more closely than McAdams does at those elements:

McAdams says: “To let Oswald off the hook you have to” –

1)      “Posit that somebody stole the rifle from the Paine garage” – Now that was certainly possible since a neighbor from across the street – who just happened to be a musician who worked for Jack Ruby, said he saw the garage light on after dark, and Mrs. Paine said that she found the garage light inexplicity on and turned it off. According to the Warren Report the rifle remained wrapped in a heavy wool Russian blanket in the Paine garage – that Michael Paine removed from his wife’s station wagon when they returned from New Orleans and moved around the garage, saying he tought it was camping equipment. It was there untouched from the last week of September until the evening before or the morning of the assassination.

2)      “That they managed to get inot the Depository” – Oswald’s package that he placed in the back seat of Frazer’s car was according to Frazer and his sister – the only two people besides Oswald who saw the package – and both said it was too small to be the rifle – broken down or not. According to those who worked at the TSBD - anyone could walk in to the back warehouse dock area of the TSBD and enter the building without any proplem, anytime of the day or night. This was reaffimed to the Oral History Project of the Sixth Floor Museum by a truck driver who delivered boxes of books there, he often walked in the back door and visited the basement locker room, and could walk around anywhere in the wharehouse back of the building.

3)      “Shoot Kennedy.” Whoever the Sixth Floor Sniper was - he was a Third Class sniper with a Third Class weapon, a throwaway – and he didn’t take the head shot that blew JFK’s brains out, as that show was taken by a First Class trained sniper with a better weapon from a different location.

4)      Produced a paper bag with Oswald’s palm print and fingerprint on it – This bag was not noticed at the scene by the very first four or five first responders – was not photographed before it was moved, and did not contain any oil marks or blanket threads that would indicate it held the rifle.And what’s with the empty paper bag someone tried to send to Oswald that ended up in the Irving P.O. dead letter box?

5)      He got out of the building without anybody seeing him – he most certainly did – as Oswald himself did.

6)      While Oswald was luckily in nowhere in sight of anybody – and was indeed in the building. - But a chronology of Oswald's ware-abouts at the time of the assassination are well documented - 

And Will Be Recounted in Detail ASAP - at JFKCountercoup.blogspot.com